By
POLITICO Magazine
Ted Cruz delivered two crushing defeats on Saturday and denied Donald Trump big
wins everywhere, rounding up a delegate haul he hopes will drive low-polling
rivals toward the exit.
Cruz
scored huge upsets, easily taking Kansas with 48.2 percent of the vote to
Trump’s 23.3 percent and Maine, notching 45.8 percent to Trump’s 32.6 percent.
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Trump eked out narrow wins in Kentucky -- 35 percent to 31 percent – and in
Louisiana, with about 42 percent to Cruz’s 37 percent.
“We saw on Tuesday, the Super Tuesday results that were
extraordinary. And today on Super Saturday, we seem to be seeing a continuation
of that very same path,” Cruz told supporters gathered in Idaho, which will
vote March 8.
“What we’re seeing is conservatives coming together," he said.
“What we’re seeing is conservatives coming together," he said.
It’s a
common refrain from the senator, who has relentlessly argued that he is the
only viable alternative to Trump. Saturday's results offered evidence he could
be right, as he narrowed the delegate gap between his campaign and Trump's and
showed a better ability to get conservative voters to the polls than his
competitors.
Trump
agreed, calling on Marco Rubio to drop out and welcoming a two-man contest with
Cruz.
“I want
Ted, one on one" Trump told supporters gathered in West Palm Beach,
Florida.
Of the five states that have held GOP caucuses so far, this is Cruz’s
fourth win, and his sixth primary contest overall. On Tuesday, he scored his
home state of Texas, as well as Alaska and Oklahoma, and in February won the
Iowa caucuses.
All of
Saturday’s contests required participants to be registered as Republicans, with
some states having earlier deadlines for that registration than others.
That hurt
Trump, who has shown an ability to turn out cross-over voters with little
previous record of participation.
John
Kasich and Marco Rubio were left in the dust on Saturday – each notching few
delegates, and Rubio being shut out completely in Maine, where he failed to
jump the 10 percent hurdle.
Still,
Rubio said this is exactly as his team expected and dismissed chatter that he
might lose his home state of Florida on March 15.
“Tonight
we will have more delegates than we did last night,” Rubio told supporters and
reporters in Puerto Rico. “This map only gets better for us.”
“We’re
gonna win Florida and you’ll find out on March 15 how confident we are,” he
said.
Candidates
have a handful of opportunities to rack up delegates in Hawaii, Idaho, Michigan
and Mississippi, as well as in some territories, before the winner-take-all
contests of March 15, when Trump threatens to sweep many of the big states in
his march toward the Republican National Convention.
Kasich and
Rubio, at this point, have no path but a brokered convention while the Cruz
campaign insists it doesn't see one happening. Keeping Trump’s delegate totals
down this week could prolong the nomination process, though any delegate
deficit could also be compensated for on March 15.
On Saturday, a total of 155 delegates was up for grabs, all awarded proportionally. That’s the same amount that was allocated by Texas alone last Tuesday, but it is not an insignificant number: it’s also more delegates than were offered during all of February.
On Saturday, a total of 155 delegates was up for grabs, all awarded proportionally. That’s the same amount that was allocated by Texas alone last Tuesday, but it is not an insignificant number: it’s also more delegates than were offered during all of February.
“This
is a race that’s completely unpredictable, and every delegate matters,” said
Ryan Williams, a GOP consultant familiar with the delegate process after
serving as a spokesman on Mitt Romney’s 2012 campaign. “These contests matter,
in terms of the delegate math, for each candidate. You want to pick up as many
as you can before moving into winner-take-all states.”
Cruz
invested time and resources organizing both Kansas and Maine, rolling out
leadership teams and making last-minute visits (he visited Louisiana and had a
ground game there as well).
Cruz’s
win in Maine came despite the endorsement Trump received from Gov. Paul LePage,
and in Kansas despite the backing Rubio received from major GOP heavyweights,
including Gov. Sam Brownback and former Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole.
Trump’s troubles in those two states also stemmed from the fact that he has
shown vulnerability in organization-heavy caucus states, previously losing Iowa
and Alaska to Cruz and Minnesota to Rubio.
The
calendar has taken candidates from Wichita, Kan. to Bangor, Maine this weekend.
Cruz, hoping to shrink the delegate gap with Trump after winning three states
on Super Tuesday, has kept up a hectic schedule, hitting conservative towns and
suburbs.
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